Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2774.302302 3002.514424 3234.026311 3486.151678 3752.668199 4025.698633 4326.222515
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2389.428793 2726.741551 3082.084066 3483.101498 3921.842208 4386.053891 4913.113462
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2184.382174 2591.782740 3032.881370 3543.453986 4115.607872 4734.489226 5451.956046
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1977.835892 2428.514389 2928.259294 3519.415421 4195.407896 4940.156220 5818.436947
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1867.823831 2361.240712 2919.505354 3591.922443 4373.711852 5247.941012 6293.170124
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1746.719935 2270.001296 2873.383518 3612.451801 4484.949710 5473.922966 6671.066450
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1632.487824 2178.087980 2818.579434 3615.511089 4569.691739 5664.760513 7005.321382
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1476.176722 2025.202741 2681.983300 3512.633559 4521.744319 5694.612971 7146.849129
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1442.862070 2021.794565 2724.263704 3623.584562 4727.919299 6023.440297 7640.894046
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1394.405695 1995.667301 2735.620064 3694.377308 4884.141873 6292.541236 8065.066875
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1317.440042 1928.470101 2691.788460 3693.367973 4949.954506 6451.409980 8356.681074
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1233.199826 1847.279003 2626.186730 3661.298196 4974.255593 6557.689177 8583.402756
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1180.528700 1806.644654 2612.066851 3694.931766 5082.181481 6769.265717 8943.386786
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1116.160664 1747.127935 2570.843476 3691.764446 5142.565121 6922.128111 9232.548342
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1082.802565 1728.239616 2581.569484 3754.790062 5286.493882 7178.874212 9651.092046
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1018.370872 1662.686239 2527.103562 3729.688194 5315.323872 7290.407521 9888.848865
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 995.505098 1654.701683 2549.310096 3805.396816 5474.289637 7566.190212 10333.158931
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 954.862992 1619.057384 2531.991627 3826.829634 5561.639440 7751.075994 10663.966539
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 910.540726 1575.876721 2502.376482 3830.023442 5623.860945 7903.394178 10953.872226
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 832.611173 1479.064275 2394.221795 3722.606011 5536.379901 7860.910500 10993.997431
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 830.514385 1496.537099 2447.890737 3838.451775 5747.854298 8206.075225 11532.027310
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 815.529038 1493.408024 2471.514913 3912.347492 5903.238886 8479.315099 11979.478423
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 778.765571 1454.812877 2442.472364 3911.294023 5956.428272 8618.897034 12254.948712